Prediction: Emerson Jones vs Yexin Ma
Team pages: Emerson Jones · Yexin Ma
Prediction summary
Winner
Emerson Jones
Yexin Ma
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Emerson Jones
3-7 (W-L)
Yexin Ma
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Emerson Jones
0–1
Yexin Ma
(1 last)
- 06 Feb0-2 8-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Emerson Jones 1468 · Yexin Ma 1524
| Emerson Jones | Yexin Ma | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 70% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yexin Ma (rating 1468 vs 1524).
- Head-to-head: Emerson Jones 0–1 Yexin Ma (1).
- Note: Emerson Jones makes many double faults (7/match).
Statistics
| Emerson Jones | Yexin Ma | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-12.3 | 10.5-10 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 7 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.4% | 65% |
| Break % | 56.9% | 44.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Emerson Jones 0 – 1 Yexin Ma (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Emerson Jones 0–1 Yexin Ma
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/26 W75 Brisbane | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emerson Jones
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Suzan Lamens US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 11/08 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 03/08 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Madison Brengle WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Carol Zhao WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 22/07 | Ayana Akli W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Anastasia Gasanova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Linda Fruhvirtova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Yexin Ma
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Eunhye Lee WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/09 | Carol Zhao WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/09 | Tahlia Kokkinis W50 Guiyang |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 08/09 | Kristiana Sidorova W50 Guiyang |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 03/09 | Jiaqi Wang W75 Tianjin |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 01/09 | Yujia Huang W75 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/08 | Clara Burel US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Katrina Scott W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Clervie Ngounoue W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Caty McNally WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emerson Jones vs Yexin Ma?
Our model gives 57% to Emerson Jones, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.