Tennis · WTA Ankara · 22/09, 10:00
Prediction: Yuki Naito vs Julia Avdeeva
Team pages: Yuki Naito · Julia Avdeeva
Prediction summary
Winner
Yuki Naito
Julia Avdeeva
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Yuki Naito
5-5 (W-L)
Julia Avdeeva
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yuki Naito 1443 · Julia Avdeeva 1532
| Yuki Naito | Julia Avdeeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Julia Avdeeva (rating 1443 vs 1532).
- Julia Avdeeva is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Yuki Naito makes many double faults (10.7/match).
- Note: Julia Avdeeva makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Yuki Naito | Julia Avdeeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.7 | 1.2-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-13.2 | 9.7-8.8 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 10.7 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.7% | 70.9% |
| Break % | 51.9% | 45.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yuki Naito
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Alexandra Shubladze W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Darya Astakhova W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Renata Zarazua W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 5-10 | L |
| 23/07 | Fiona Crawley W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 23/07 | Madison Brengle W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 21/07 | BoYoung Jeong W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Sara Saito W75 Granby |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Audrey Spencer W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Lucrezia Stefanini W100 Cary · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Aishi Das W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
Julia Avdeeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Fiona Crawley W75 Le Neubourg |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Hannah Klugman W75 Le Neubourg |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/09 | Astrid Lew Yan Foon W75 Le Neubourg |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Yue Yuan US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Katherine Sebov US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Alana Smith W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Emily Appleton W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/08 | Hikaru Sato W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Clara Vlasselaer W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yuki Naito vs Julia Avdeeva?
Our model gives 64% to Julia Avdeeva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.