Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 21/09, 09:00
Prediction: Pavel Lagutin vs Svyatoslav Gulin
Team pages: Pavel Lagutin · Svyatoslav Gulin
Prediction summary
Winner
Pavel Lagutin
Svyatoslav Gulin
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Pavel Lagutin
8-2 (W-L)
Svyatoslav Gulin
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pavel Lagutin 1565 · Svyatoslav Gulin 1552
| Pavel Lagutin | Svyatoslav Gulin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Pavel Lagutin | Svyatoslav Gulin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 78% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-8.4 | 11.7-10.4 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 6.2 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 64.2% | 73.7% |
| Break % | 49.6% | 29.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pavel Lagutin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Rares Teodor Pieleanu Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/09 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/09 | Maximilian Marterer Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/09 | Matthieu Roehrich Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/09 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 08/09 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 07/09 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 06/09 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/08 | Goncalo Marques M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Svyatoslav Gulin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Ryo Tabata Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Andrej Martin Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/09 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 31/08 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 26/08 | Martin Krumich Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 25/08 | Henri Haupt Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/08 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/08 | Peter Fajta Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pavel Lagutin vs Svyatoslav Gulin?
Our model gives 59% to Pavel Lagutin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.