Tennis · Challenger Saint-Tropez · 22/09, 10:00
Prediction: Ugo Blanchet vs Nicolas Mejia
Team pages: Ugo Blanchet · Nicolas Mejia
Prediction summary
Winner
Ugo Blanchet
Nicolas Mejia
Estimated games
24.3
Recent form · 10 last
Ugo Blanchet
6-4 (W-L)
Nicolas Mejia
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ugo Blanchet 1500 · Nicolas Mejia 1473
| Ugo Blanchet | Nicolas Mejia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Ugo Blanchet | Nicolas Mejia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 0.9-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 14-13.3 | 11.5-13.3 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 73.1% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 25.2% | 36.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ugo Blanchet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/09 | Daniel Masur Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 09/09 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 08/09 | Laurent Lokoli Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/08 | Otto Virtanen US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 18/08 | James Watt Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 17/08 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 12/08 | Rei Sakamoto Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
Nicolas Mejia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Tallon Griekspoor Davis Cup |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Liam Draxl US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 20/08 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Adam Walton ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Henrique Rocha ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Jacob Fearnley ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Martin Landaluce ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 01/08 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 26/07 | Alex Hernandez ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ugo Blanchet vs Nicolas Mejia?
Our model gives 57% to Ugo Blanchet, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.