Tennis · Challenger San Diego · 20/09, 21:30
Prediction: Blaise Bicknell vs Jakub Vrba
Team pages: Blaise Bicknell · Jakub Vrba
Prediction summary
Winner
Blaise Bicknell
Jakub Vrba
Estimated games
24
Recent form · 10 last
Blaise Bicknell
6-4 (W-L)
Jakub Vrba
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Blaise Bicknell 1415 · Jakub Vrba 1529
| Blaise Bicknell | Jakub Vrba | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jakub Vrba (rating 1415 vs 1529).
- Jakub Vrba dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 45.5% break avg.
- Jakub Vrba is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Jakub Vrba makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Blaise Bicknell | Jakub Vrba | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.7 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-14.9 | 11-12.2 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 6.2 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 66.3% | 69% |
| Break % | 30.9% | 45.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Blaise Bicknell
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Trevor Svajda Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 26/08 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 18/08 | Max Purcell Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 29/07 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 16/07 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 14/07 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Timo Legout Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Karl Poling Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 03/06 | Johannus Monday Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 25/05 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Jakub Vrba
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Bryce Nakashima M15 Champaign |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/08 | Oliver Okonkwo M15 Champaign |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 28/08 | Ofek Shimanov M15 Champaign |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 27/08 | Ryan Colby M15 Champaign |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 26/08 | Alexander Frusina M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Nicholas Mekhael M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/07 | Pablo Martinez Gomez Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 23/06 | Javier Barranco Cosano M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 18/06 | Andrej Nedic M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Blaise Bicknell vs Jakub Vrba?
Our model gives 57% to Blaise Bicknell, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.