Tennis · WTA Seoul · 21/09, 05:00

Prediction: Xinxin Yao vs Maya Joint

Team pages: Xinxin Yao · Maya Joint

Prediction summary
Winner
29% 71%
Xinxin Yao Maya Joint
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Xinxin Yao 5-5 (W-L)
LLLLWWWWLW
Maya Joint 3-7 (W-L)
LLWLWWLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Xinxin Yao 1499 · Maya Joint 1529
Xinxin YaoMaya Joint
Our model46%54%
Market15%85%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Maya Joint makes many double faults (4.9/match).

Statistics

Xinxin YaoMaya Joint
Win %40%60%
Win % · Hard 100% (2) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.31.5-1.2
Games (G-P)10.8-1213.1-12.3
Aces1.91.7
Double faults1.64.9
1st serve %58.1%60.2%
Break %51.6%52.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Xinxin Yao

WLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/09 Miho Kuramochi
WTA Seoul · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
19/09 Priscilla Hon
WTA Seoul · Hard
2-1 20-18 W
15/09 Wushuang Zheng
W35 Shenyang
1-2 13-16 L
11/09 Alexandra Shubladze
W50 Guiyang
1-2 9-16 L
10/09 Ya-Yi Yang
W50 Guiyang
2-0 12-4 W
09/09 Sara Saito
W50 Guiyang
2-0 12-5 W
01/09 Anastasia Kulikova
W75 Tianjin
1-2 12-16 L
12/08 Rasheeda McAdoo
W50 Hamburg
1-2 8-16 L
05/08 Ida Wobker
W75 Leipzig
0-2 6-12 L
30/07 Nastasja Schunk
W75 Hechingen
0-2 4-12 L

Maya Joint

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/09 Elina Svitolina
US Open Women · Hard
1-2 13-18 L
31/08 Ludmilla Samsonova
US Open Women · Hard
2-1 15-10 W
26/08 Panna Udvardy
WTA Monterrey · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
24/08 Yulia Putintseva
WTA Monterrey · Hard
2-1 12-10 W
23/08 Jessica Hinojosa Gomez
WTA Monterrey · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
14/08 Tamara Korpatsch
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 13-12 L
07/08 Ludmilla Samsonova
WTA Toronto · Hard
1-2 14-19 L
06/08 Sorana Cirstea
WTA Toronto · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
03/08 Yulia Starodubtsewa
WTA Toronto · Hard
2-1 16-10 W
01/08 Ana Grubor
WTA Toronto · Hard
2-1 17-17 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Xinxin Yao vs Maya Joint?

Our model gives 71% to Maya Joint, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.