Tennis · Davis Cup · 20/09, 20:30

Prediction: Cesar Cruz vs Nuno Borges

Team pages: Cesar Cruz · Nuno Borges

Prediction summary
Winner
23% 77%
Cesar Cruz Nuno Borges
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Cesar Cruz 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWLWWLWL
Nuno Borges 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWWLWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cesar Cruz 1518 · Nuno Borges 1536
Cesar CruzNuno Borges
Our model47%53%
Market4%96%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Cesar CruzNuno Borges
Win %60%60%
Win % · Hard 60% (10) 67% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.3-11.5-1.1
Games (G-P)11-9.812.9-12.8
Aces1.88.5
Double faults2.53.4
1st serve %66.1%78.6%
Break %40.9%38%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cesar Cruz

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/09 Rishvanth Krishna
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
12/09 Emon Van Loben Sels
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-1 16-13 W
11/09 Antreas Djakouris
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 10-14 L
08/09 Jacob Brumm
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-1 12-13 W
08/09 Liam Oliver
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
16/06 Karl Kazuma Lee
M15 Irvine · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
13/06 Xavier Calvelo
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
1-2 15-19 L
11/06 Benjamin Sparks
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
10/06 Sebastian Bielen
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
09/06 Antreas Djakouris
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-3 W

Nuno Borges

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/09 Learner Tien
US Open · Hard
0-3 7-18 L
20/08 Brandon Nakashima
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 13-18 L
18/08 Andrey Rublev
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
16/08 Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
14/08 Thanasi Kokkinakis
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 19-19 W
08/08 Luciano Darderi
ATP Montreal · Hard
1-2 14-17 L
06/08 Yannick Hanfmann
ATP Montreal · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
05/08 Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Montreal · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
04/08 Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Montreal · Hard
2-1 18-13 W
22/07 Roman Andres Burruchaga
ATP Estoril · Clay
1-2 10-16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cesar Cruz vs Nuno Borges?

Our model gives 77% to Nuno Borges, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.