Prediction: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Yanki Erel
Team pages: Thiago Agustin Tirante · Yanki Erel
Prediction summary
Winner
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Yanki Erel
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Thiago Agustin Tirante
6-4 (W-L)
Yanki Erel
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thiago Agustin Tirante 1541 · Yanki Erel 1520
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | Yanki Erel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | Yanki Erel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-13 | 11-9.1 |
| Aces | 10.9 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 80.3% | 75.2% |
| Break % | 33.2% | 37.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thiago Agustin Tirante
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Mert Alkaya Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/08 | Adrian Mannarino US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 21-25 | L |
| 21/08 | Arthur Fils ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Jakub Mensik ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 17/08 | Martin Landaluce ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/08 | Novak Djokovic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Jan Choinski ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 09/08 | Learner Tien ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Alexei Popyrin ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Taylor Fritz ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Yanki Erel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Francisco Cerundolo Davis Cup |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Jay Friend Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 10/09 | Radu Albot Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Timofey Skatov Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/09 | Ryuki Matsuda M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Keisuke Saitoh M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 03/09 | Yuto Oki M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Kousuke Ogura M25 Urayasu |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 28/08 | Luca Castelnuovo M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Hikaru Shiraishi M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Yanki Erel?
Our model gives 65% to Thiago Agustin Tirante, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.