Tennis · Challenger Buenos Aires · 21/09, 15:00
Prediction: Gonzalo Bueno vs Franco Roncadelli
Team pages: Gonzalo Bueno · Franco Roncadelli
Prediction summary
Winner
Gonzalo Bueno
Franco Roncadelli
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Gonzalo Bueno
4-6 (W-L)
Franco Roncadelli
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Gonzalo Bueno
2–0
Franco Roncadelli
(2 last)
- 19 Feb2-0 12-7W
- 02 Feb2-0 13-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gonzalo Bueno 1538 · Franco Roncadelli 1477
| Gonzalo Bueno | Franco Roncadelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gonzalo Bueno (rating 1538 vs 1477).
- Head-to-head: Gonzalo Bueno 2–0 Franco Roncadelli (2).
Statistics
| Gonzalo Bueno | Franco Roncadelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-10.1 | 9.7-11.3 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 2 | 0.6 |
| 1st serve % | 60.7% | 56.7% |
| Break % | 23.8% | 43.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Gonzalo Bueno 2 – 0 Franco Roncadelli (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gonzalo Bueno 2–0 Franco Roncadelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/02/26 Challenger Tigre | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/02/20 ITF M25 Lima | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gonzalo Bueno
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 12-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Billy Harris US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Valentin Royer Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Edward Winter Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/08 | Benjamin Willwerth Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 02/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Hynek Barton Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Franco Roncadelli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Elias Ymer US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Jakub Nicod Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Oskari Paldanius Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 17/07 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 06/07 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gonzalo Bueno vs Franco Roncadelli?
Our model gives 65% to Gonzalo Bueno, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.