Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 20/09, 12:00
Prediction: Luca Wiedenmann vs Kai Wehnelt
Team pages: Luca Wiedenmann · Kai Wehnelt
Prediction summary
Winner
Luca Wiedenmann
Kai Wehnelt
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Luca Wiedenmann
4-6 (W-L)
Kai Wehnelt
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Luca Wiedenmann
0–1
Kai Wehnelt
(1 last)
- 19 Jan0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luca Wiedenmann 1457 · Kai Wehnelt 1520
| Luca Wiedenmann | Kai Wehnelt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kai Wehnelt (rating 1457 vs 1520).
- Head-to-head: Luca Wiedenmann 0–1 Kai Wehnelt (1).
Statistics
| Luca Wiedenmann | Kai Wehnelt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-11.2 | 12-10.9 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 7.4 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65.6% | 75.8% |
| Break % | 32.9% | 37.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Luca Wiedenmann 0 – 1 Kai Wehnelt (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Luca Wiedenmann 0–1 Kai Wehnelt
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/01/23 M15 Monastir | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luca Wiedenmann
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Henry Bernet Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Louis Wessels M25 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Sander Jong M25 Oldenzaal |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 27/08 | Sebastian Heinrich M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/08 | Matteo Covato M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 16/08 | Timeo Gaillard Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Ziga Sesko M15 Trier |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Kai Wehnelt
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Marcel Zielinski Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 06/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Facundo Mena Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/08 | Nick Hardt Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/08 | Robert Strombachs Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/08 | Daniel Siniakov Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/08 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 18/08 | Nino Ehrenschneider Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luca Wiedenmann vs Kai Wehnelt?
Our model gives 57% to Kai Wehnelt, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.