Prediction: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar
Team pages: Alejandro Tabilo · Rafael Jodar
Prediction summary
Winner
Alejandro Tabilo
Rafael Jodar
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Alejandro Tabilo
5-5 (W-L)
Rafael Jodar
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alejandro Tabilo
1–2
Rafael Jodar
(3 last)
- 18 Aug0-2 3-12L
- 02 Aug1-2 15-18L
- 06 Mar2-0 12-3W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alejandro Tabilo 1518 · Rafael Jodar 1538
| Alejandro Tabilo | Rafael Jodar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Alejandro Tabilo 1–2 Rafael Jodar (3).
Statistics
| Alejandro Tabilo | Rafael Jodar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.4 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.9-14.5 | 12.4-10.1 |
| Aces | 7.3 | 3 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 74.9% | 71% |
| Break % | 34.2% | 40.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
H2H · Alejandro Tabilo 1 – 2 Rafael Jodar (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alejandro Tabilo 1–2 Rafael Jodar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/26 ATP Cincinnati | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/08/26 ATP Washington | 1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 06/03/26 ATP Indian Wells | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alejandro Tabilo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Daniel Merida Aguilar Davis Cup |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 06/09 | Alexander Zverev US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 10-19 | L |
| 03/09 | Alexei Popyrin US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 22-20 | W |
| 31/08 | Yannick Hanfmann US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 24-15 | W |
| 18/08 | Rafael Jodar ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/08 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Rafael Jodar ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 01/08 | Ben Shelton ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 30/07 | Terence Atmane ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Rafael Jodar
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Cristian Garin Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/09 | Bu Yunchaokete US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 4-18 | L |
| 19/08 | Flavio Cobolli ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 18/08 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/08 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 13/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Arthur Fils ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/08 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/08 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Corentin Moutet ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar?
Our model gives 64% to Rafael Jodar, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.