Prediction: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Sara Saito
Team pages: Alevtina Ibragimova · Sara Saito
Prediction summary
Winner
Alevtina Ibragimova
Sara Saito
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Alevtina Ibragimova
6-4 (W-L)
Sara Saito
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alevtina Ibragimova 1560 · Sara Saito 1469
| Alevtina Ibragimova | Sara Saito | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alevtina Ibragimova (rating 1560 vs 1469).
- Alevtina Ibragimova is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Sara Saito makes many double faults (10.6/match).
Statistics
| Alevtina Ibragimova | Sara Saito | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-9.3 | 11.6-12.5 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 10.6 |
| 1st serve % | 56.3% | 61.6% |
| Break % | 58.1% | 45.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alevtina Ibragimova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Rina Saigo WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Rositsa Dencheva WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/09 | Alicia Herrero Linana WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 11/09 | Aurora Zantedeschi WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/09 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Julie Struplova WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Mariam Bolkvadze US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Rebecca Sramkova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Maia Ilinca Burcescu WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Sara Saito
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | En Shuo Liang WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Xinxin Yao W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Viktoria Morvayova W75 Tianjin |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 04/08 | Reese Brantmeier W100 Landisville |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 31/07 | Kylie Collins W75 Lexington |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 30/07 | Erika Sema W75 Lexington |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 28/07 | Luciana Perry W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Kayla Cross W75 Granby |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Sakura Hosogi W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alevtina Ibragimova vs Sara Saito?
Our model gives 67% to Alevtina Ibragimova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.