Tennis · Davis Cup · 20/09, 14:10

Prediction: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Vilius Gaubas

Team pages: Miomir Kecmanovic · Vilius Gaubas

Prediction summary
Winner
61% 39%
Miomir Kecmanovic Vilius Gaubas
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Miomir Kecmanovic 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWWLWLLW
Vilius Gaubas 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLWWWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Miomir Kecmanovic 1478 · Vilius Gaubas 1491
Miomir KecmanovicVilius Gaubas
Our model48%52%
Market71%29%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Miomir KecmanovicVilius Gaubas
Win %40%50%
Win % · Hard 43% (7) 67% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.51.3-1
Games (G-P)13-14.411.8-11.2
Aces3.33.8
Double faults3.21.5
1st serve %68.6%71.1%
Break %34.9%41.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Miomir Kecmanovic

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/09 Edas Butvilas
Davis Cup
2-1 15-16 W
30/08 Denis Shapovalov
US Open · Hard
1-3 15-22 L
26/08 Fabian Marozsan
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
23/08 Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
15/08 Flavio Cobolli
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 10-16 L
13/08 Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
05/08 Arthur Rinderknech
ATP Montreal · Hard
1-2 15-18 L
04/08 Michael Zheng
ATP Montreal · Hard
2-1 17-16 W
21/07 Sebastian Baez
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
1-2 13-15 L
16/07 Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Gstaad · Clay
1-2 14-16 L

Vilius Gaubas

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/09 Hamad Medjedovic
Davis Cup
0-2 8-12 L
08/09 Pavel Lagutin
Challenger Seville · Clay
1-2 8-15 L
28/08 Harry Wendelken
US Open · Hard
1-2 19-20 L
26/08 Marco Cecchinato
US Open · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
24/08 Kilian Feldbausch
US Open · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
04/08 Max Houkes
Challenger Hagen · Clay
1-2 14-14 L
01/08 Facundo Diaz Acosta
Challenger San Marino · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
31/07 Thiago Monteiro
Challenger San Marino · Clay
2-0 14-12 W
30/07 Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Challenger San Marino · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
28/07 Luka Pavlovic
Challenger San Marino · Clay
2-0 13-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Miomir Kecmanovic vs Vilius Gaubas?

Our model gives 61% to Miomir Kecmanovic, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.