Tennis · Davis Cup · 20/09, 16:00

Prediction: Hamad Medjedovic vs Edas Butvilas

Team pages: Hamad Medjedovic · Edas Butvilas

Prediction summary
Winner
59% 41%
Hamad Medjedovic Edas Butvilas
Estimated games
25.1
Recent form · 10 last
Hamad Medjedovic 5-5 (W-L)
LWLWWWLLLW
Edas Butvilas 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLWWWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hamad Medjedovic 1443 · Edas Butvilas 1529
Hamad MedjedovicEdas Butvilas
Our model38%62%
Market77%23%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Edas Butvilas (rating 1443 vs 1529).
  • Edas Butvilas dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 41.8% break avg.
  • Edas Butvilas is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Note: Hamad Medjedovic makes many double faults (4.3/match).

Statistics

Hamad MedjedovicEdas Butvilas
Win %30%60%
Win % · Hard 0% (3) 67% (9)
Sets (G-P)1-1.81.4-1.1
Games (G-P)13.3-15.214-11.9
Aces8.76.3
Double faults4.32.1
1st serve %74.8%72.9%
Break %22.3%41.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 25.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hamad Medjedovic

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/09 Vilius Gaubas
Davis Cup
2-0 12-8 W
30/08 Kamil Majchrzak
US Open · Hard
0-3 9-18 L
14/08 Marco Trungelliti
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 11-14 L
04/08 Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Montreal · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
29/06 Sebastian Ofner
Wimbledon · Grass
2-3 21-23 L
19/06 Ugo Humbert
ATP Queens · Grass
1-2 18-16 L
16/06 Arthur Rinderknech
ATP Queens · Grass
2-0 14-12 W
27/05 Casper Ruud
French Open · Clay
0-3 9-18 L
24/05 Yannick Hanfmann
French Open · Clay
3-1 24-18 W
12/05 Martin Landaluce
ATP Rome · Clay
0-2 9-13 L

Edas Butvilas

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/09 Miomir Kecmanovic
Davis Cup
1-2 16-15 L
11/09 Max Basing
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
10/09 Miguel Tobon
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
08/09 Gabriel Ghetu
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
04/09 Luca Potenza
Challenger Manacor · Hard
1-2 17-18 L
03/09 Remy Bertola
Challenger Manacor · Hard
2-1 18-13 W
13/08 Daniel Milavsky
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
0-2 11-14 L
11/08 Michael Mmoh
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
09/08 Andre Ilagan
Challenger Lexington · Hard
2-1 14-14 W
08/08 Dusan Lajovic
Challenger Lexington · Hard
2-1 18-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hamad Medjedovic vs Edas Butvilas?

Our model gives 59% to Hamad Medjedovic, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.