Prediction: Toby Samuel vs Alvaro Guillen Meza
Team pages: Toby Samuel · Alvaro Guillen Meza
Prediction summary
Winner
Toby Samuel
Alvaro Guillen Meza
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Toby Samuel
5-5 (W-L)
Alvaro Guillen Meza
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Toby Samuel 1569 · Alvaro Guillen Meza 1361
| Toby Samuel | Alvaro Guillen Meza | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 23% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Toby Samuel (rating 1569 vs 1361).
- Toby Samuel is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Toby Samuel makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Toby Samuel | Alvaro Guillen Meza | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 0% |
| Win % · Hard | 78% (9) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 0.4-2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-10 | 9.8-14.7 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 4 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 72.3% | 62.3% |
| Break % | 53.9% | 36.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Toby Samuel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Andy Andrade Davis Cup |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Jiri Lehecka US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
| 30/08 | Tomas Machac US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Billy Harris US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 24/08 | Francesco Maestrelli US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Jay Friend Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 26/07 | Liam Draxl Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/07 | Charles Broom Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/07 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Alvaro Guillen Meza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Arthur Fery Davis Cup |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 31/08 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 25/08 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 06/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/06 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Toby Samuel vs Alvaro Guillen Meza?
Our model gives 84% to Toby Samuel, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.