Prediction: Daniel Altmaier vs Matej Dodig
Team pages: Daniel Altmaier · Matej Dodig
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Altmaier
Matej Dodig
Estimated games
23.8
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Altmaier
2-8 (W-L)
Matej Dodig
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Altmaier 1460 · Matej Dodig 1568
| Daniel Altmaier | Matej Dodig | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matej Dodig (rating 1460 vs 1568).
- Matej Dodig dominates on serve: 6.6 aces and 50.6% break avg.
- Matej Dodig is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Daniel Altmaier | Matej Dodig | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-13.2 | 13.2-11.4 |
| Aces | 6.4 | 6.6 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.9% | 80% |
| Break % | 34% | 50.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Altmaier
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Dino Prizmic Davis Cup |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Zachary Svajda US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 13-24 | L |
| 26/08 | Ignacio Buse ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/08 | Francisco Comesana ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/08 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Coleman Wong ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 05/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 22/07 | Alex Molcan ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Raphael Collignon ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Matej Dodig
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Alexander Zverev Davis Cup |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/09 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 11/09 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 06/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/09 | Johan Nikles Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/09 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 02/09 | Henry Bernet Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 31/08 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/08 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Altmaier vs Matej Dodig?
Our model gives 56% to Daniel Altmaier, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.