Tennis · WTA Seoul · 21/09, 02:00

Prediction: Yue Yuan vs Dayeon Back

Team pages: Yue Yuan · Dayeon Back

Prediction summary
Winner
69% 31%
Yue Yuan Dayeon Back
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Yue Yuan 9-1 (W-L)
WWWWWWWWWL
Dayeon Back 4-6 (W-L)
WWWLLLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yue Yuan 1498 · Dayeon Back 1452
Yue YuanDayeon Back
Our model57%43%
Market79%21%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yue Yuan (rating 1498 vs 1452).

Statistics

Yue YuanDayeon Back
Win %40%40%
Win % · Hard 44% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.4-1.20.8-1.2
Games (G-P)11.4-127.2-9.1
Aces3.10.2
Double faults2.51.1
1st serve %68.7%51.9%
Break %43.1%53.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yue Yuan

WLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/08 Mary Stoiana
US Open Women · Hard
1-2 13-16 L
26/08 Julia Avdeeva
US Open Women · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
26/08 Hanyu Guo
US Open Women · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
13/08 Kayla Day
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 14-15 L
11/08 Renata Zarazua
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
05/08 Elizara Yaneva
WTA Warsaw · Hard
1-2 9-17 L
03/08 Alana Smith
WTA Warsaw · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
21/07 Nikola Bartunkova
WTA Prague · Hard
1-2 11-15 L
14/07 Aliona Falei
WTA Istanbul · Hard
1-2 11-17 L
23/06 Jeline Vandromme
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 8-16 L

Dayeon Back

LWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/09 Viktoria Morvayova
W50 Guiyang
0-2 6-12 L
01/09 Mei Yamaguchi
W75 Tianjin
0-2 3-12 L
13/08 Laima Vladson
W50 Hamburg
0-2 1-12 L
12/08 Arina Gabriela Vasilescu
W50 Hamburg
2-0 12-4 W
05/08 Julie Pastikova
W75 Leipzig
0-2 4-12 L
29/07 Xinxin Yao
W75 Hechingen
0-2 4-12 L
26/07 Lea Nilsson
W50 Horb
0-2 8-13 L
25/07 Denislava Glushkova
W50 Horb
2-0 10-2 W
24/07 Loes Ebeling Koning
W50 Horb
2-0 12-7 W
23/07 Madelief Hageman
W50 Horb
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yue Yuan vs Dayeon Back?

Our model gives 69% to Yue Yuan, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.