Prediction: Yue Yuan vs Dayeon Back
Team pages: Yue Yuan · Dayeon Back
Prediction summary
Winner
Yue Yuan
Dayeon Back
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Yue Yuan
9-1 (W-L)
Dayeon Back
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yue Yuan 1498 · Dayeon Back 1452
| Yue Yuan | Dayeon Back | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yue Yuan (rating 1498 vs 1452).
Statistics
| Yue Yuan | Dayeon Back | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 0.8-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-12 | 7.2-9.1 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 68.7% | 51.9% |
| Break % | 43.1% | 53.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yue Yuan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Mary Stoiana US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Julia Avdeeva US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Hanyu Guo US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/08 | Kayla Day WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 11/08 | Renata Zarazua WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Warsaw · Hard |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 03/08 | Alana Smith WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 14/07 | Aliona Falei WTA Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Jeline Vandromme Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
Dayeon Back
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Viktoria Morvayova W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Mei Yamaguchi W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Laima Vladson W50 Hamburg |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Arina Gabriela Vasilescu W50 Hamburg |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/08 | Julie Pastikova W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Xinxin Yao W75 Hechingen |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Lea Nilsson W50 Horb |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Denislava Glushkova W50 Horb |
2-0 | 10-2 | W |
| 24/07 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Horb |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Madelief Hageman W50 Horb |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yue Yuan vs Dayeon Back?
Our model gives 69% to Yue Yuan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

