Tennis · Davis Cup · 19/09, 23:00

Prediction: Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo vs Oliver Ojakaar

Team pages: Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo · Oliver Ojakaar

Prediction summary
Winner
74% 26%
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Oliver Ojakaar
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 9-1 (W-L)
WWWWWWWWLW
Oliver Ojakaar 6-4 (W-L)
WLLWWWWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 1654 · Oliver Ojakaar 1532
Joaquin Aguillar CardozoOliver Ojakaar
Our model67%33%
Market79%21%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo (rating 1654 vs 1532).
  • Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo is in better form: 100% recent wins.

Statistics

Joaquin Aguillar CardozoOliver Ojakaar
Win %100%60%
Win % · Hard 71% (7)
Sets (G-P)2-0.11.4-0.9
Games (G-P)12.5-5.512-10.7
Aces0.75.5
Double faults1.92.1
1st serve %70.4%69.6%
Break %57%47.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo

WWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/08 Carlos Maria Zarate
M15 Mar Del Plata
2-0 12-4 W
29/08 Gonzalo Villanueva
M15 Mar Del Plata
2-1 17-16 W
28/08 Lorenzo Gagliardo
M15 Mar Del Plata
2-0 12-4 W
27/08 Federico Aguilar Cardozo
M15 Mar Del Plata
2-0 12-6 W
26/08 Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago
M15 Mar Del Plata
2-0 12-4 W
22/08 Gonzalo Villanueva
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
21/08 Maxwell Exsted
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
20/08 Rodrigo Alujas
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
19/08 Nathan Cox
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
18/08 Lorenzo Gagliardo
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Oliver Ojakaar

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/08 Oscar Weightman
M15 Turku
1-2 10-14 L
11/08 Vito Tonejc
M15 Turku
2-0 12-7 W
05/08 Adrian Oetzbach
M15 Frankfurt
0-2 8-12 L
26/06 Jagger Leach
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
1-2 10-15 L
25/06 Evan Bynoe
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
24/06 Marko Miladinovic
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
23/06 Antreas Djakouris
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
07/06 Oliver Bonding
M15 Lakewood · ~Hard
0-2 11-14 L
06/06 Iiro Vasa
M15 Lakewood · ~Hard
2-1 19-15 W
05/06 Kenta Miyoshi
M15 Lakewood · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo vs Oliver Ojakaar?

Our model gives 74% to Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.