Prediction: Franco Roncadelli vs Markus Molder
Team pages: Franco Roncadelli · Markus Molder
Prediction summary
Winner
Franco Roncadelli
Markus Molder
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Franco Roncadelli
3-7 (W-L)
Markus Molder
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Franco Roncadelli 1486 · Markus Molder 1548
| Franco Roncadelli | Markus Molder | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Markus Molder (rating 1486 vs 1548).
- Markus Molder is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Franco Roncadelli | Markus Molder | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-11.3 | 13.7-12 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 0.6 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 56.7% | 73.9% |
| Break % | 43.6% | 47.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Franco Roncadelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Elias Ymer US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Jakub Nicod Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Oskari Paldanius Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 17/07 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 06/07 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Markus Molder
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Arvid Nordquist M15 Turku |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Melvin Kumar M15 Turku |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 02/08 | Conor Gannon M15 Dublin |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 01/08 | Robin Catry M15 Dublin |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 31/07 | Michael Agwi M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/07 | Matisse Farzam M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 28/07 | Pablo Perez Ramos M15 Dublin |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 25/06 | Leyton Rivera M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 24/06 | Lorenzo Ferri M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/06 | Matthias Uwe Kask M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Franco Roncadelli vs Markus Molder?
Our model gives 61% to Franco Roncadelli, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.