Prediction: Franco Roncadelli vs Kristjan Tamm
Team pages: Franco Roncadelli · Kristjan Tamm
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Prediction summary
Winner
Franco Roncadelli
Kristjan Tamm
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Franco Roncadelli
3-7 (W-L)
Kristjan Tamm
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Franco Roncadelli 1477 · Kristjan Tamm 1529
| Franco Roncadelli | Kristjan Tamm | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kristjan Tamm (rating 1477 vs 1529).
- Kristjan Tamm dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 50% break avg.
Statistics
| Franco Roncadelli | Kristjan Tamm | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-11.3 | 11.3-10.4 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 6.3 |
| Double faults | 0.6 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 56.7% | 71.4% |
| Break % | 43.6% | 50% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Franco Roncadelli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Elias Ymer US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Jakub Nicod Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Oskari Paldanius Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 17/07 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 06/07 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Kristjan Tamm
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Dong Ju Kim Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 04/09 | Yuta Tomida M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Zak Talic M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Reiya Komagata M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 28/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Arthur Weber M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Ren Nakamura M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Noritaka Koizumi M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/08 | Hugo Hashimoto M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Oscar Weightman M15 Turku |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Franco Roncadelli vs Kristjan Tamm?
Our model gives 62% to Franco Roncadelli, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.