Prediction: Mohamed Aziz Dougaz vs Muzammil Murtaza
Team pages: Mohamed Aziz Dougaz · Muzammil Murtaza
Prediction summary
Winner
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Muzammil Murtaza
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
8-2 (W-L)
Muzammil Murtaza
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mohamed Aziz Dougaz 1591 · Muzammil Murtaza 1460
| Mohamed Aziz Dougaz | Muzammil Murtaza | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 94% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mohamed Aziz Dougaz (rating 1591 vs 1460).
- Mohamed Aziz Dougaz is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Muzammil Murtaza makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Mohamed Aziz Dougaz | Muzammil Murtaza | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-8.4 | 9.3-10.3 |
| Aces | 6.4 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 3 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 75.7% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 39.3% | 33% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Cesar Bouchelaghem M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/09 | Jorge Plans M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/09 | Nicolas Jadoun M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/09 | Edison Ambarzumjan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Daniele Augenti M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/08 | Andrea Guerrieri US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Kyrian Jacquet US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 24/08 | Federico Agustin Gomez US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/08 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Muzammil Murtaza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Sergey Petrov M15 Astana |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Alexander Ushakov M15 Astana |
2-1 | 9-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Mert Naci Turker M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Loan Lestir M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Aditya Kothari M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/06 | Rafael De Alba M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 06/05 | Artem Bukin M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/04 | Matas Vasiliauskas M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 02/03 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Fujairah · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 06/02 | Nicolas Jadoun Davis Cup |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mohamed Aziz Dougaz vs Muzammil Murtaza?
Our model gives 83% to Mohamed Aziz Dougaz, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.