Tennis · UTR Pro College Station · 22/09, 16:00
Prediction: Tomas Pinho vs Bautista Durrels Rojo
Prediction summary
Winner
Tomas Pinho
Bautista Durrels Rojo
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Tomas Pinho
6-4 (W-L)
Bautista Durrels Rojo
0-10 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tomas Pinho 1595 · Bautista Durrels Rojo 1359
| Tomas Pinho | Bautista Durrels Rojo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 80% | 20% |
| Market | 92% | 8% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tomas Pinho (rating 1595 vs 1359).
- Tomas Pinho is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Tomas Pinho | Bautista Durrels Rojo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 0% |
| Win % · Hard | 89% (9) | 0% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 0.1-2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-8.7 | 6.3-12.9 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 51.8% |
| Break % | 52.6% | 35.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tomas Pinho
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Wesley Cotton UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Albert Pedrico Kravtsov M25 Porto |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/02 | Petro Kuzmenok UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/02 | Manuel Sanchez UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/02 | Santiago Navarro UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 12/02 | Gordon Gallagher UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 11/02 | Francisco Salmain UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 10/02 | Tommy Czaplinski UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/12 | Ilan Hediger UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 19/12 | Sam Ryan Ziegann UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Bautista Durrels Rojo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Mihnea Maftei UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Luca Ostovany UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Gregory Gamal UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Pavel Bushuev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Siddharth Bharadwaj UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/11 | Kahven Singh UTR Pro Tucson · Hard |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 03/11 | Alejandro Arcila UTR Pro Tucson · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Gray Voelzke UTR Pro Baton Rouge · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/10 | Mats Bredschneijder UTR Pro Baton Rouge · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/10 | William Freshwater UTR Pro Baton Rouge · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tomas Pinho vs Bautista Durrels Rojo?
Our model gives 86% to Tomas Pinho, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.