Tennis · Davis Cup · 19/09, 15:30

Prediction: Alex Knaff vs Fabian Marozsan

Team pages: Alex Knaff · Fabian Marozsan

Prediction summary
Winner
25% 75%
Alex Knaff Fabian Marozsan
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Knaff 1-9 (W-L)
LLLLWLLLLL
Fabian Marozsan 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWLWWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alex Knaff 1444 · Fabian Marozsan 1484
Alex KnaffFabian Marozsan
Our model44%56%
Market10%90%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fabian Marozsan (rating 1444 vs 1484).

Statistics

Alex KnaffFabian Marozsan
Win %30%40%
Win % · Hard 0% (2) 43% (7)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.61.3-1.5
Games (G-P)9.9-11.812.7-14
Aces3.35
Double faults3.82.9
1st serve %66.3%66.5%
Break %40.4%35.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alex Knaff

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/09 Zsombor Piros
Davis Cup
0-2 4-12 L
08/09 Karl Friberg
M25 Plaisir
0-2 6-12 L
05/09 Raphael Perot
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
0-2 8-13 L
04/09 Fares Zakaria
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
2-1 18-12 W
03/09 Guillaume Dalmasso
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
2-1 15-7 W
01/09 Juan Carlos Aguilar
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
1-0 6-1 W
21/07 Conor Gannon
M15 Rognac
0-2 11-14 L
13/05 Kyle Mckay
UTR Pro Stirling · Hard
1-2 18-18 L
12/05 Nicola Cigna
UTR Pro Stirling · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
07/05 Millen Hurrion
M25 Nottingham
1-2 8-17 L

Fabian Marozsan

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/09 Michael Zheng
US Open · Hard
0-3 10-18 L
28/08 James Duckworth
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
1-2 13-18 L
27/08 Martin Damm
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-1 14-12 W
26/08 Miomir Kecmanovic
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
14/08 Michael Zheng
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 13-16 L
05/08 Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Montreal · Hard
1-2 15-15 L
04/08 Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Montreal · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
01/07 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Wimbledon · Grass
0-3 6-18 L
29/06 Thiago Agustin Tirante
Wimbledon · Grass
3-0 19-12 W
26/06 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Mallorca · Grass
1-2 13-17 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alex Knaff vs Fabian Marozsan?

Our model gives 75% to Fabian Marozsan, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.