Prediction: Casper Ruud vs Jie Cui
Team pages: Casper Ruud · Jie Cui
Prediction summary
Winner
Casper Ruud
Jie Cui
Estimated games
25.7
Recent form · 10 last
Casper Ruud
5-5 (W-L)
Jie Cui
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Casper Ruud 1531 · Jie Cui 1488
| Casper Ruud | Jie Cui | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 94% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Casper Ruud (rating 1531 vs 1488).
- Casper Ruud dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 42.7% break avg.
- Note: Casper Ruud makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Casper Ruud | Jie Cui | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-1.5 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 16.9-15.6 | 11.9-11.9 |
| Aces | 6.8 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 73.2% | 75.1% |
| Break % | 42.7% | 39.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Casper Ruud
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Rigele Te Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/08 | Joao Fonseca ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/07 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 16/07 | Jaime Faria ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 29/06 | Hubert Hurkacz Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 12-19 | L |
| 31/05 | Joao Fonseca French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 20-25 | L |
| 29/05 | Tommy Paul French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 30-28 | W |
| 27/05 | Hamad Medjedovic French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 18-9 | W |
| 25/05 | Roman Safiullin French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 24-23 | W |
Jie Cui
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Davis Cup |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 10/09 | Yi Zhou Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Fajing Sun Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/08 | James Trotter Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 13/08 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Aziz Ouakaa Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Matthew Forbes Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 14/07 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Matthew Forbes M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Casper Ruud vs Jie Cui?
Our model gives 77% to Casper Ruud, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.