Prediction: Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Nicolas Mejia
Team pages: Botic Van De Zandschulp · Nicolas Mejia
Prediction summary
Winner
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Nicolas Mejia
Estimated games
24.8
Recent form · 10 last
Botic Van De Zandschulp
4-6 (W-L)
Nicolas Mejia
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Botic Van De Zandschulp 1560 · Nicolas Mejia 1464
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | Nicolas Mejia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Botic Van De Zandschulp (rating 1560 vs 1464).
- Botic Van De Zandschulp dominates on serve: 10.3 aces and 50.9% break avg.
- Botic Van De Zandschulp is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Botic Van De Zandschulp makes many double faults (6.5/match).
Statistics
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | Nicolas Mejia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-1.2 | 0.9-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 16.3-13.7 | 11.5-13.3 |
| Aces | 10.3 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 6.5 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 69.5% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 50.9% | 36.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Davis Cup |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 10/09 | Alexander Zverev US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 8-19 | L |
| 07/09 | Arthur Gea US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 29-29 | W |
| 05/09 | Zizou Bergs US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 27-27 | W |
| 04/09 | Alex De Minaur US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-11 | W |
| 02/09 | Jan Choinski US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-10 | W |
| 27/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Luciano Darderi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/08 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/08 | Joao Fonseca ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Nicolas Mejia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Tallon Griekspoor Davis Cup |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Liam Draxl US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 20/08 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Adam Walton ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Henrique Rocha ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Jacob Fearnley ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Martin Landaluce ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 01/08 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 26/07 | Alex Hernandez ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Nicolas Mejia?
Our model gives 76% to Botic Van De Zandschulp, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.