Tennis · Davis Cup · 19/09, 14:00

Prediction: Lukas Neumayer vs Gauthier Onclin

Team pages: Lukas Neumayer · Gauthier Onclin

Prediction summary
Winner
60% 40%
Lukas Neumayer Gauthier Onclin
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Lukas Neumayer 5-5 (W-L)
LLWLWLWWLW
Gauthier Onclin 3-7 (W-L)
LWLWWLLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lukas Neumayer 1489 · Gauthier Onclin 1474
Lukas NeumayerGauthier Onclin
Our model52%48%
Market66%34%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Lukas NeumayerGauthier Onclin
Win %50%40%
Win % · Hard 50% (2) 50% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.20.9-1.5
Games (G-P)11.4-10.510.7-12.3
Aces2.51.6
Double faults1.82
1st serve %66%64.7%
Break %46.1%44.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lukas Neumayer

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/09 Zizou Bergs
Davis Cup
1-2 12-14 L
11/09 Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Challenger Tulln · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
10/09 Juan Manuel La Serna
Challenger Tulln · Clay
2-1 19-13 W
08/09 Svyatoslav Gulin
Challenger Tulln · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
26/08 Coleman Wong
US Open · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
24/08 James McCabe
US Open · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
13/08 Daniel Michalski
Challenger Todi · Clay
2-1 17-11 W
11/08 Alexander Weis
Challenger Todi · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
28/07 Francesco Maestrelli
Challenger San Marino · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
20/07 Yannick Hanfmann
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
0-2 10-13 L

Gauthier Onclin

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/09 Jurij Rodionov
Davis Cup
0-2 5-12 L
08/09 Raphael Perot
Challenger Cassis · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
25/08 Vitaliy Sachko
US Open · Hard
0-2 10-14 L
20/08 Vit Kopriva
Challenger Cancun · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
20/08 Timofey Skatov
Challenger Cancun · Hard
2-1 14-11 W
19/08 Alejandro Moro Canas
Challenger Cancun · Hard
2-1 17-15 W
17/08 Ryan Seggerman
Challenger Cancun · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
14/08 Andy Andrade
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
13/08 Tyler Zink
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
2-1 15-13 W
25/07 Diego Dedura-Palomero
Challenger Tampere · Clay
1-2 14-15 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lukas Neumayer vs Gauthier Onclin?

Our model gives 60% to Lukas Neumayer, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.