Tennis · UTR Pro Sydney · 19/09, 04:00
Prediction: Jera Staley vs James Girdler
Team pages: Jera Staley · James Girdler
Prediction summary
Winner
Jera Staley
James Girdler
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Jera Staley
4-6 (W-L)
James Girdler
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jera Staley
2–0
James Girdler
(2 last)
- 10 Sept2-0 13-6W
- 25 Aug2-0 12-3W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jera Staley 1491 · James Girdler 1466
| Jera Staley | James Girdler | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Jera Staley 2–0 James Girdler (2).
Statistics
| Jera Staley | James Girdler | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-9.6 | 9.6-12 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 71.3% | 55.7% |
| Break % | 21% | 48.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
H2H · Jera Staley 2 – 0 James Girdler (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jera Staley 2–0 James Girdler
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/26 UTR Pro Sydney | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/08/26 UTR Pro Gold Coast | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jera Staley
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Oscar Andrews UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Arjun Mehrotra UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Haruto Ishikawa UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Jerome Estephan UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/09 | Matthew Burton UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/09 | James Girdler UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Cameron Burton UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 08/09 | Jesse Gothelf UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Casey Hoole UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Cody Atkinson UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
James Girdler
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Jake Dembo UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Roger Rogowski UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/09 | Elijah Dikkenberg UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 15/09 | Alex Bulte UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Eric Tripathi UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Cameron Burton UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 10/09 | Jera Staley UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Casey Hoole UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Jonas Hahn UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/08 | Arjun Balakrishnan UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jera Staley vs James Girdler?
Our model gives 66% to Jera Staley, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.