Tennis · Davis Cup · 18/09, 22:30

Prediction: Franco Roncadelli vs Oliver Ojakaar

Team pages: Franco Roncadelli · Oliver Ojakaar

Prediction summary
Winner
61% 39%
Franco Roncadelli Oliver Ojakaar
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Franco Roncadelli 3-7 (W-L)
LLLWLWLWLL
Oliver Ojakaar 6-4 (W-L)
WLLWWWWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Franco Roncadelli 1474 · Oliver Ojakaar 1520
Franco RoncadelliOliver Ojakaar
Our model43%57%
Market75%25%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oliver Ojakaar (rating 1474 vs 1520).

Statistics

Franco RoncadelliOliver Ojakaar
Win %40%60%
Win % · Clay 44% (9)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.41.4-0.9
Games (G-P)9.7-11.312-10.7
Aces0.35.5
Double faults0.62.1
1st serve %56.7%69.6%
Break %43.6%47.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 22

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Franco Roncadelli

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/08 Elias Ymer
US Open · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
30/07 Norbert Gombos
Challenger Liberec · Clay
0-2 10-14 L
28/07 Jakub Nicod
Challenger Liberec · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
23/07 Henri Squire
Challenger Tampere · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
21/07 Oskari Paldanius
Challenger Tampere · Clay
2-0 14-11 W
17/07 Max Alcala Gurri
Challenger Cordenons · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
16/07 Maxim Mrva
Challenger Cordenons · Clay
2-1 17-14 W
14/07 Lorenzo Giustino
Challenger Cordenons · Clay
2-1 14-9 W
06/07 Michele Ribecai
Challenger Trieste · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
01/07 Andrej Nedic
Challenger Brasov · Clay
0-2 7-12 L

Oliver Ojakaar

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/08 Oscar Weightman
M15 Turku
1-2 10-14 L
11/08 Vito Tonejc
M15 Turku
2-0 12-7 W
05/08 Adrian Oetzbach
M15 Frankfurt
0-2 8-12 L
26/06 Jagger Leach
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
1-2 10-15 L
25/06 Evan Bynoe
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
24/06 Marko Miladinovic
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
23/06 Antreas Djakouris
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
07/06 Oliver Bonding
M15 Lakewood · ~Hard
0-2 11-14 L
06/06 Iiro Vasa
M15 Lakewood · ~Hard
2-1 19-15 W
05/06 Kenta Miyoshi
M15 Lakewood · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Franco Roncadelli vs Oliver Ojakaar?

Our model gives 61% to Franco Roncadelli, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.