Tennis · M25 Zlatibor · 18/09, 10:30

Prediction: Dusan Milanovic vs Stefan Popovic

Team pages: Dusan Milanovic · Stefan Popovic

Prediction summary
Winner
51% 49%
Dusan Milanovic Stefan Popovic
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Dusan Milanovic 8-2 (W-L)
WLWWWWWWLW
Stefan Popovic 5-5 (W-L)
LWLWLWWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dusan Milanovic 1604 · Stefan Popovic 1496
Dusan MilanovicStefan Popovic
Our model65%35%
Market39%61%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dusan Milanovic (rating 1604 vs 1496).
  • Dusan Milanovic is in better form: 90% recent wins.

Statistics

Dusan MilanovicStefan Popovic
Win %90%50%
Win % · Clay 88% (8) 40% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.8-0.31.1-1.1
Games (G-P)11.6-7.711.2-10.8
Aces5.50.9
Double faults2.52.2
1st serve %66.8%57.5%
Break %53%45%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dusan Milanovic

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/09 Andrea Fiorentini
M25 Zlatibor
2-0 12-8 W
16/09 Nik Mikovic
M25 Zlatibor
2-1 8-9 W
06/09 Bercel Sandor Takacs
UTR Pro Skopje · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
05/09 Rafael Kis Balazs
UTR Pro Skopje · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
04/09 David Ioan Morega
UTR Pro Skopje · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
02/09 Igor Mandou Berranger
UTR Pro Skopje · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
01/09 Mihail Ivanov
UTR Pro Skopje · Clay
2-0 14-11 W
31/08 James Pikkaart
UTR Pro Skopje · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
21/05 Peter Makk
M15 Doboj · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
20/05 Sven Corbinais
M15 Doboj · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Stefan Popovic

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/09 Rares Teodor Pieleanu
M25 Zlatibor
2-0 13-9 W
06/09 Oleksii Krutykh
Challenger Genoa · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
01/09 Nikita Mashtakov
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
0-2 11-14 L
31/08 Aleksandar Tolev
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
30/08 Kaloyan Shikov
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-1 15-10 W
27/08 Sebastian Dominko
M25 Maribor
0-2 3-12 L
26/08 Piotr Galus
M25 Maribor
2-0 12-5 W
20/08 Luca Castagnola
M25 Slovenj Gradec
1-2 17-17 L
18/08 Bruno Fernandez
M25 Slovenj Gradec
2-0 13-10 W
13/08 Bor Artnak
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dusan Milanovic vs Stefan Popovic?

Our model gives 51% to Dusan Milanovic, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.