Tennis · W75 Le Neubourg · 18/09, 11:00
Prediction: Manon Leonard vs Martyna Kubka
Team pages: Manon Leonard · Martyna Kubka
Prediction summary
Winner
Manon Leonard
Martyna Kubka
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Manon Leonard
4-6 (W-L)
Martyna Kubka
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Manon Leonard
0–1
Martyna Kubka
(1 last)
- 22 Oct1-2 8-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Manon Leonard 1491 · Martyna Kubka 1545
| Manon Leonard | Martyna Kubka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Martyna Kubka (rating 1491 vs 1545).
- Martyna Kubka dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 41.9% break avg.
- Martyna Kubka is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Manon Leonard 0–1 Martyna Kubka (1).
Statistics
| Manon Leonard | Martyna Kubka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-9.7 | 13.8-11.4 |
| Aces | 1 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 60.2% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 51.2% | 41.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Manon Leonard 0 – 1 Martyna Kubka (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Manon Leonard 0–1 Martyna Kubka
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/24 ITF W75 Poitiers | 1-2 | 8-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Manon Leonard
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Lucie Nguyen Tan W75 Le Neubourg |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/09 | Laura Hietaranta W75 Le Neubourg |
2-1 | 17-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Hannah Klugman W50 Nottingham |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Amelie Brooks W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Sabine Rutlauka W50 Nottingham |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Veronika Podrez W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Anastasia Kulikova W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Alina Charaeva WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Aliona Falei W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Katherine Sebov W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Martyna Kubka
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Carson Tanguilig W75 Le Neubourg |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 15/09 | Jana Otzipka W75 Le Neubourg |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/08 | Kristina Liutova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Marina Bassols Ribera US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Annika Penickova US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 05/08 | Mona Barthel WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Teodora Kostovic WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 19/07 | Justina Mikulskyte W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Kira Pavlova W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 17/07 | Han Shi W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Manon Leonard vs Martyna Kubka?
Our model gives 66% to Martyna Kubka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.