Prediction: Timofey Skatov vs Kasidit Samrej
Team pages: Timofey Skatov · Kasidit Samrej
Prediction summary
Winner
Timofey Skatov
Kasidit Samrej
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Timofey Skatov
4-6 (W-L)
Kasidit Samrej
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Timofey Skatov
1–0
Kasidit Samrej
(1 last)
- 14 Jan2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Timofey Skatov 1481 · Kasidit Samrej 1543
| Timofey Skatov | Kasidit Samrej | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kasidit Samrej (rating 1481 vs 1543).
- Kasidit Samrej dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 46.6% break avg.
- Kasidit Samrej is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Timofey Skatov 1–0 Kasidit Samrej (1).
Statistics
| Timofey Skatov | Kasidit Samrej | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-10.9 | 11-9.5 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 6.8 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 59.9% | 75.6% |
| Break % | 37.1% | 46.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
H2H · Timofey Skatov 1 – 0 Kasidit Samrej (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Timofey Skatov 1–0 Kasidit Samrej
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/01/26 Challenger Nonthaburi | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Timofey Skatov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Yanki Erel Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Grigor Dimitrov US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 03/08 | Alex Barrena Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Otto Virtanen Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Thomas Faurel Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Andrey Rublev ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Jesper De Jong ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
Kasidit Samrej
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 06/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/09 | Enzo Aguiard Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/09 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/09 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Yan Cheng Chen M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Kai-I Wang M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Timofey Skatov vs Kasidit Samrej?
Our model gives 54% to Timofey Skatov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.