Prediction: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maximus Jones
Team pages: Alexander Shevchenko · Maximus Jones
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Shevchenko
Maximus Jones
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Shevchenko
6-4 (W-L)
Maximus Jones
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Shevchenko 1457 · Maximus Jones 1517
| Alexander Shevchenko | Maximus Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maximus Jones (rating 1457 vs 1517).
- Note: Alexander Shevchenko makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Alexander Shevchenko | Maximus Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.4 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-13.4 | 11.5-10.6 |
| Aces | 7.8 | 5 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 75.6% | 69.4% |
| Break % | 39.7% | 58.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Shevchenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Dino Prizmic US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 24-26 | L |
| 14/08 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Christopher O'Connell ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/08 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 18/07 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/07 | Quentin Halys ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/07 | Dominic Stephan Stricker ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Alexandre Muller ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Maximus Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Florent Bax Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 02/09 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Oskari Paldanius Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/08 | Alastair Gray Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/07 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Kokoro Isomura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 02/07 | Ryota Tanuma M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Makoto Ochi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 17/06 | Hunter Heck M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Shevchenko vs Maximus Jones?
Our model gives 63% to Alexander Shevchenko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.