Tennis · M25 Zlatibor · 17/09, 10:30
Prediction: Alexandre Aubriot vs Gilberto Ravasio
Team pages: Alexandre Aubriot · Gilberto Ravasio
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexandre Aubriot
Gilberto Ravasio
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Alexandre Aubriot
3-7 (W-L)
Gilberto Ravasio
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexandre Aubriot 1471 · Gilberto Ravasio 1404
| Alexandre Aubriot | Gilberto Ravasio | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexandre Aubriot (rating 1471 vs 1404).
- Note: Alexandre Aubriot makes many double faults (6.3/match).
- Note: Gilberto Ravasio makes many double faults (6.3/match).
Statistics
| Alexandre Aubriot | Gilberto Ravasio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 10% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.6 | 0.4-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-12.8 | 7-12 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 6.3 | 6.3 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 55.5% |
| Break % | 36% | 39.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexandre Aubriot
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Adam Gabor Szoke M15 Budapest |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 05/09 | Dmitry Popko M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Stefano D'Agostino M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/09 | Egor Shcherbakov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Filiberto Fumagalli M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 26/08 | Antoni Fabre M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Daniel Jade M25 Uriage |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 01/07 | Pieter De Lange M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 23/06 | Jakub Filip M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Sandro Kopp M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
Gilberto Ravasio
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Nemanja Malesevic M25 Zlatibor |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Federico Bove M25 Lesa |
1-2 | 10-9 | L |
| 29/07 | Yassine Smiej M25 Koszalin |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Andrea Tognolini M15 Segrate |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Lorenzo Beraldo M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Jakub Filip M15 Lodz |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Federico Arnaboldi M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Gabriele Maria Noce M25 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/05 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Doboj · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Toufik Sahtali M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexandre Aubriot vs Gilberto Ravasio?
Our model gives 70% to Alexandre Aubriot, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.