Tennis · W75 Le Neubourg · 17/09, 10:00
Prediction: Carson Tanguilig vs Martyna Kubka
Team pages: Carson Tanguilig · Martyna Kubka
Prediction summary
Winner
Carson Tanguilig
Martyna Kubka
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Carson Tanguilig
5-5 (W-L)
Martyna Kubka
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carson Tanguilig 1562 · Martyna Kubka 1545
| Carson Tanguilig | Martyna Kubka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Martyna Kubka dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 45.3% break avg.
Statistics
| Carson Tanguilig | Martyna Kubka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-10 | 13.3-10.6 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 6.2 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 60.9% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 44.5% | 45.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carson Tanguilig
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Amandine Hesse W75 Le Neubourg |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/09 | Carolin Raschdorf W75 Le Neubourg |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/09 | Severine Deppner W75 Le Neubourg |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/08 | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon W35 Southaven |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Aran Teixido Garcia W35 Southaven |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 06/08 | Alina Shcherbinina W35 Southaven |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 21/05 | Savannah Broadus W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Carolyn Ansari W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 10/05 | Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele W35 Boca Raton |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/05 | Luna Maria Cinalli W35 Boca Raton |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Martyna Kubka
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Jana Otzipka W75 Le Neubourg |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/08 | Kristina Liutova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Marina Bassols Ribera US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Annika Penickova US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 05/08 | Mona Barthel WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Teodora Kostovic WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 19/07 | Justina Mikulskyte W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Kira Pavlova W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 17/07 | Han Shi W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 16/07 | Chloe Noel W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carson Tanguilig vs Martyna Kubka?
Our model gives 64% to Martyna Kubka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.