Tennis · M25 Zlatibor · 17/09, 10:30
Prediction: Marko Topo vs Caheer Warik
Team pages: Marko Topo · Caheer Warik
Prediction summary
Winner
Marko Topo
Caheer Warik
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Marko Topo
5-5 (W-L)
Caheer Warik
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marko Topo 1492 · Caheer Warik 1418
| Marko Topo | Caheer Warik | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 94% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marko Topo (rating 1492 vs 1418).
- Marko Topo is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Caheer Warik makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Marko Topo | Caheer Warik | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 22% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 0.7-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-10.9 | 7.1-12 |
| Aces | 5 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 69% | 55.7% |
| Break % | 48.4% | 34.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marko Topo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 24/08 | Miguel Damas Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Hagen · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 03/08 | Dominik Recek Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Elmer Moller Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/07 | Leonardo Rossi Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Caheer Warik
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Ivan Biletic M25 Zlatibor |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Andrea Motta M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Stefan Kostic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-9 | L |
| 06/08 | Lorenzo Comino M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Denis Klok M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 04/08 | Savva Rybkin M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 7-9 | W |
| 18/07 | Razvan Baiant UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Hoan Mouret UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Jakub Volesky UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marko Topo vs Caheer Warik?
Our model gives 79% to Marko Topo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.