Tennis · W75 Le Neubourg · 17/09, 10:00
Prediction: Manon Leonard vs Lucie Nguyen Tan
Team pages: Manon Leonard · Lucie Nguyen Tan
Prediction summary
Winner
Manon Leonard
Lucie Nguyen Tan
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Manon Leonard
4-6 (W-L)
Lucie Nguyen Tan
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Manon Leonard 1488 · Lucie Nguyen Tan 1524
| Manon Leonard | Lucie Nguyen Tan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Manon Leonard | Lucie Nguyen Tan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-10.7 | 11.5-11.1 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 60.5% | 57.7% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 51.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Manon Leonard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Laura Hietaranta W75 Le Neubourg |
2-1 | 17-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Hannah Klugman W50 Nottingham |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Amelie Brooks W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Sabine Rutlauka W50 Nottingham |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Veronika Podrez W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Anastasia Kulikova W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Alina Charaeva WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Aliona Falei W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Katherine Sebov W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/06 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
Lucie Nguyen Tan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Yasmine Mansouri W75 Le Neubourg |
1-0 | 6-3 | W |
| 08/09 | Alina Granwehr WTA Montreux · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 07/09 | Dalila Spiteri WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 06/09 | Amandine Monnot WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 03/09 | Francesca Pace W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 01/09 | Laura Hietaranta W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 05/08 | Barbora Palicova W75 Koksijde |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Alba Rey Garcia W75 Koksijde |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 02/08 | Maria Andrienko W75 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 29/07 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Knokke-Heist |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Manon Leonard vs Lucie Nguyen Tan?
Our model gives 59% to Manon Leonard, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.