Tennis · M15 Monastir · 17/09, 10:00
Prediction: Lucca Liu vs Ergi Kirkin
Team pages: Lucca Liu · Ergi Kirkin
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucca Liu
Ergi Kirkin
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Lucca Liu
7-3 (W-L)
Ergi Kirkin
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucca Liu 1539 · Ergi Kirkin 1504
| Lucca Liu | Ergi Kirkin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Lucca Liu makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Lucca Liu | Ergi Kirkin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-8.3 | 11-10.6 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 4 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.7% | 75.9% |
| Break % | 46.7% | 46.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucca Liu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Mathieu Scaglia M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Tim Loosen M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/09 | Oscar Brown M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 10/09 | Josh Manuel M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Mahmoud Chetouane M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Tiago Torres M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-9 | L |
| 29/06 | Goncalo Quintela M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/06 | Andrew Johnson M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Vignesh Gogineni M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 26/05 | Amit Vales M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Ergi Kirkin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Vito Dell'Elba M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/09 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Keshav Chopra Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 31/08 | Giorgio Tabacco Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Togan Tokac Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/08 | Mika Brunold Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Tymur Bieldiugin M25 Ueberlingen |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 18/08 | David Eichenseher M25 Ueberlingen |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 10/08 | Federico Zeballos Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucca Liu vs Ergi Kirkin?
Our model gives 55% to Ergi Kirkin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.