Tennis · Challenger Rennes · 16/09, 14:00
Prediction: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone
Team pages: Harold Mayot · Murphy Cassone
Prediction summary
Winner
Harold Mayot
Murphy Cassone
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Harold Mayot
5-5 (W-L)
Murphy Cassone
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Harold Mayot 1567 · Murphy Cassone 1525
| Harold Mayot | Murphy Cassone | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Harold Mayot (rating 1567 vs 1525).
Statistics
| Harold Mayot | Murphy Cassone | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 78% (9) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-10.4 | 14-12.8 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 5 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 74.1% | 73.9% |
| Break % | 42.6% | 54.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Harold Mayot
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Clement Tabur Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 12/09 | Max Basing Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 07/09 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Max Purcell Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 17/08 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Filip Pieczonka Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Murphy Cassone
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/07 | Arthur Gea Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/07 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 08/07 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Ethan Quinn ATP Mallorca · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 21/06 | Alex Molcan ATP Mallorca · Grass |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 20/06 | Filippo Romano ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Tyler · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone?
Our model gives 61% to Harold Mayot, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.