Tennis · W50 Pazardzhik · 17/09, 09:00
Prediction: Elizara Yaneva vs Gaia Maduzzi
Team pages: Elizara Yaneva · Gaia Maduzzi
Prediction summary
Winner
Elizara Yaneva
Gaia Maduzzi
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Elizara Yaneva
5-5 (W-L)
Gaia Maduzzi
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elizara Yaneva 1523 · Gaia Maduzzi 1586
| Elizara Yaneva | Gaia Maduzzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gaia Maduzzi (rating 1523 vs 1586).
- Note: Elizara Yaneva makes many double faults (4.4/match).
- Note: Gaia Maduzzi makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Elizara Yaneva | Gaia Maduzzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.3 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-12.3 | 12.1-8.9 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 63.4% | 63.2% |
| Break % | 48.7% | 63.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elizara Yaneva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Sarah Van Emst W50 Pazardzhik |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/09 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela WTA Antalya · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Zhibek Kulambayeva WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 07/09 | Weronika Falkowska WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 25/08 | Lucie Havlickova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Mona Barthel WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 05/08 | Yue Yuan WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Linda Klimovicova WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 20/07 | Federica Urgesi WTA Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Gaia Maduzzi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Amelia Paszun W50 Pazardzhik |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 14/09 | Nina Radovanovic W50 Pazardzhik |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 13/09 | Ralitsa Alexandrova W50 Pazardzhik |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/08 | Denisa Zoldakova W75 Bytom |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Elena Malygina W75 Bytom |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann W75 Bytom |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Amelia Paszun W75 Bytom |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/08 | Sara Husar W75 Bytom |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/08 | Ariana Geerlings W35 Krakow |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 19/08 | Elena Malygina W35 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elizara Yaneva vs Gaia Maduzzi?
Our model gives 62% to Elizara Yaneva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.