Tennis · UTR Pro Sydney · 16/09, 02:30
Prediction: Jeremy Beale vs Jerome Estephan
Team pages: Jeremy Beale · Jerome Estephan
Prediction summary
Winner
Jeremy Beale
Jerome Estephan
Estimated games
19.2
Recent form · 10 last
Jeremy Beale
6-4 (W-L)
Jerome Estephan
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jeremy Beale 1511 · Jerome Estephan 1396
| Jeremy Beale | Jerome Estephan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 92% | 8% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jeremy Beale (rating 1511 vs 1396).
- Jeremy Beale is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Jeremy Beale | Jerome Estephan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 13% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 0.4-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-9.3 | 6.7-11.2 |
| Aces | 2 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 61.1% |
| Break % | 43.4% | 31.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jeremy Beale
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Arjun Mehrotra UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/09 | Haruto Ishikawa UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/09 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Oscar Andrews UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Jacob Cairncross UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/09 | Shaheed Alam UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 07/09 | Cody Atkinson UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Jonas Hahn UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Casey Hoole UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Zane Stevens UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Jerome Estephan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Jera Staley UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/09 | Kuma Ito UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Alec Braund UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Matthew Burton UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Dimitri Bagaric UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/04 | Gunawan Trismuwantara M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 09/03 | Jamie Mackenzie M25 Timaru |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/03 | Felix Littlejohn M25 Timaru |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jeremy Beale vs Jerome Estephan?
Our model gives 80% to Jeremy Beale, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.