Tennis · WTA Guadalajara · 17/09, 22:00
Prediction: Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend
Team pages: Marta Kostyuk · Taylor Townsend
Prediction summary
Winner
Marta Kostyuk
Taylor Townsend
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Marta Kostyuk
6-4 (W-L)
Taylor Townsend
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Marta Kostyuk
2–0
Taylor Townsend
(2 last)
- 08 Mar2-0 12-5W
- 10 Jan2-1 14-13W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marta Kostyuk 1574 · Taylor Townsend 1545
| Marta Kostyuk | Taylor Townsend | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Marta Kostyuk 2–0 Taylor Townsend (2).
- Note: Marta Kostyuk makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Marta Kostyuk | Taylor Townsend | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-9.7 | 13.3-10.6 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 5.8 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 73.1% | 73.6% |
| Break % | 58.7% | 46.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Marta Kostyuk 2 – 0 Taylor Townsend (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marta Kostyuk 2–0 Taylor Townsend
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 WTA Indian Wells | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/01/24 WTA Adelaide | 2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marta Kostyuk
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Linda Noskova US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 04/09 | Ekaterina Alexandrova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Sloane Stephens US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Storm Hunter US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/08 | Coco Gauff WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Sloane Stephens WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 16/08 | Sofia Kenin WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 08/08 | Iga Swiatek WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 06/08 | Madison Keys WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Taylor Townsend
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Tatjana Maria WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 06/09 | Aryna Sabalenka US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Diana Shnaider US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 02/09 | Taylah Preston US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/08 | Maja Chwalinska US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Elena Rybakina WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Maria Camila Osorio WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 08/08 | Belinda Bencic WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 05/08 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 04/08 | Tereza Valentova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend?
Our model gives 64% to Marta Kostyuk, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.