Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 16/09, 03:30
Prediction: Tia Messerli vs Tiffany Papazian
Team pages: Tia Messerli · Tiffany Papazian
Prediction summary
Winner
Tia Messerli
Tiffany Papazian
Estimated games
19.2
Recent form · 10 last
Tia Messerli
2-8 (W-L)
Tiffany Papazian
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tia Messerli 1442 · Tiffany Papazian 1451
| Tia Messerli | Tiffany Papazian | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Tia Messerli | Tiffany Papazian | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-10.7 | 6.6-10.9 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 47.9% | 44% |
| Break % | 52.9% | 39.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tia Messerli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Tricia Mar UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 07/08 | Kaia Giribalan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Sage Bergeson UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Marley Lambert UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Avery Nguyen W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Monika Ekstrand W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Yulia Zhytelna W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-8 | L |
| 11/06 | Monika Ekstrand W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Klara Kosan W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 03/06 | Thara Gowda W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Tiffany Papazian
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Elena Goodman UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Marley Lambert UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 19/07 | Chelsea Bluestein UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Mingyue Deng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/07 | Mila Mulready UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Kelly Shi UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Nicole Weng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Sage Bergeson UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/10 | Tanvi Pandey UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 25/10 | Selma Stefania Cadar UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tia Messerli vs Tiffany Papazian?
Our model gives 56% to Tia Messerli, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.