Tennis · W15 Sao Luis · 15/09, 15:00
Prediction: Bianca M B Bia Bernardes vs Paola Lopez
Team pages: Bianca M B Bia Bernardes · Paola Lopez
Prediction summary
Winner
Bianca M B Bia Bernardes
Paola Lopez
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Bianca M B Bia Bernardes
2-8 (W-L)
Paola Lopez
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bianca M B Bia Bernardes 1405 · Paola Lopez 1466
| Bianca M B Bia Bernardes | Paola Lopez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paola Lopez (rating 1405 vs 1466).
- Note: Paola Lopez makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Bianca M B Bia Bernardes | Paola Lopez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.7 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.1-10.5 | 8.6-11.3 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 56.9% | 57.3% |
| Break % | 35.4% | 47.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bianca M B Bia Bernardes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Maayan Laron W15 Porto Velho |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca W35 Barueri |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Maria Fernanda Lopes W15 Campos do Jordao |
1-2 | 9-9 | L |
| 11/08 | Lan Mi W15 Campos do Jordao |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Romina Ccuno W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Bruna Melato W15 Rio Claro |
1-2 | 10-8 | L |
| 08/06 | Gabriella Price W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Camila Romero W15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Catarina M I Melleiro Junior W15 Brasilia |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 01/06 | Mia Popovic W15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Paola Lopez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W15 Pilar |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Luciana Moyano W15 Lujan · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Melina Maria Maruca Others · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Katherine Hui W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 01/07 | Paulina Montiel W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Salma Ewing W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Olivia Allegre W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Bianca Molnar W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 09/06 | Sophie Llewellyn W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 20/05 | Katrina Scott W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bianca M B Bia Bernardes vs Paola Lopez?
Our model gives 74% to Paola Lopez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.