Tennis · W75 Le Neubourg · 16/09, 10:30
Prediction: Carson Tanguilig vs Amandine Hesse
Team pages: Carson Tanguilig · Amandine Hesse
Prediction summary
Winner
Carson Tanguilig
Amandine Hesse
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Carson Tanguilig
5-5 (W-L)
Amandine Hesse
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carson Tanguilig 1555 · Amandine Hesse 1473
| Carson Tanguilig | Amandine Hesse | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carson Tanguilig (rating 1555 vs 1473).
- Carson Tanguilig is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Carson Tanguilig | Amandine Hesse | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-9.8 | 10.4-11.6 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 59.7% | 59.8% |
| Break % | 45.2% | 48.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carson Tanguilig
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Carolin Raschdorf W75 Le Neubourg |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/09 | Severine Deppner W75 Le Neubourg |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/08 | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon W35 Southaven |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Aran Teixido Garcia W35 Southaven |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 06/08 | Alina Shcherbinina W35 Southaven |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 21/05 | Savannah Broadus W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Carolyn Ansari W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 10/05 | Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele W35 Boca Raton |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/05 | Luna Maria Cinalli W35 Boca Raton |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 08/05 | Sofia Rocchetti W35 Boca Raton |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Amandine Hesse
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Ariana Geerlings W35 Reus · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Meritxell Teixido Garcia W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 09/09 | Beatrise Zeltina W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Anastasia Zolotareva W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 25/08 | Haruka Kaji W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Ksenia Zaytseva W75 Kursumlijska Banja Qual · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/08 | Luna Vujovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Milica Stosovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 12/07 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 08/07 | Mayar Sherif WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carson Tanguilig vs Amandine Hesse?
Our model gives 53% to Carson Tanguilig, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.