Tennis · M15 Belem · 16/09, 15:00

Prediction: Jefferson Wendler Filho vs Rafael Tosetto

Team pages: Jefferson Wendler Filho · Rafael Tosetto

Prediction summary
Winner
39% 61%
Jefferson Wendler Filho Rafael Tosetto
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Jefferson Wendler Filho 2-8 (W-L)
LLLWWLLLLL
Rafael Tosetto 5-5 (W-L)
LLLWWWLWWL
Head-to-head
Jefferson Wendler Filho 0–2 Rafael Tosetto (2 last)
  • 05 Apr1-2 8-14L
  • 21 Mar0-2 3-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jefferson Wendler Filho 1437 · Rafael Tosetto 1540
Jefferson Wendler FilhoRafael Tosetto
Our model36%64%
Market41%59%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rafael Tosetto (rating 1437 vs 1540).
  • Rafael Tosetto is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Jefferson Wendler Filho 0–2 Rafael Tosetto (2).
  • Note: Jefferson Wendler Filho makes many double faults (4.4/match).

Statistics

Jefferson Wendler FilhoRafael Tosetto
Win %20%70%
Win % · Clay 29% (7) 67% (3)
Sets (G-P)0.6-1.71.4-0.8
Games (G-P)7.9-11.710.3-10.2
Aces0.42.8
Double faults4.42.4
1st serve %60.6%67.3%
Break %23.9%41%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.1

H2H · Jefferson Wendler Filho 02 Rafael Tosetto (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Jefferson Wendler Filho 02 Rafael Tosetto

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DateSetsGamesRes.
05/04/26
Challenger Campinas
1-28-14L
21/03/24
ITF M25 Maceio
0-23-12L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jefferson Wendler Filho

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/09 Gabriel Schenekenberg
M15 Leme
0-2 6-12 L
09/06 Alex Hernandez
M15 Brasilia
0-2 3-12 L
21/05 Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
19/05 Felipe De Dios
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
2-1 14-10 W
14/05 Mateus Alves
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
13/05 Eric Martins
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
05/04 Rafael Tosetto
Challenger Campinas · Clay
1-2 8-14 L
29/03 Daniel Antonio Nunez
Challenger Sao Leopoldo · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
22/03 Daniel Cukierman
Challenger Sao Paulo · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
28/11 Nicolas Garcia Longo
ITF M15 Ribeirao Preto
1-2 14-17 L

Rafael Tosetto

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/09 Mateus Alves
M15 Leme
0-2 5-12 L
12/09 Joao Goncalves
M15 Leme
2-0 13-10 W
11/09 Pedro Rodrigues Longobardi
M15 Leme
2-0 12-4 W
05/09 Mateus Alves
M15 Porto Velho
0-2 4-12 L
04/09 Enzo Crevelaro
M15 Porto Velho
2-0 12-8 W
03/09 Lucas Zancheta
M15 Porto Velho
2-0 14-10 W
02/09 Lucca C Pignaton
M15 Porto Velho
2-0 12-5 W
14/08 Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
13/08 Maxwell Exsted
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-1 15-13 W
12/08 Ezequiel Monferrer
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-1 14-16 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jefferson Wendler Filho vs Rafael Tosetto?

Our model gives 61% to Rafael Tosetto, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.