Tennis · W50 Pazardzhik · 15/09, 10:00
Prediction: Merel Hoedt vs Iva Ivanova
Team pages: Merel Hoedt · Iva Ivanova
Prediction summary
Winner
Merel Hoedt
Iva Ivanova
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Merel Hoedt
5-5 (W-L)
Iva Ivanova
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Merel Hoedt 1571 · Iva Ivanova 1475
| Merel Hoedt | Iva Ivanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Merel Hoedt (rating 1571 vs 1475).
- Merel Hoedt is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Iva Ivanova makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Merel Hoedt | Iva Ivanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-8.4 | 10.3-11.2 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 55.5% | 53.6% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 54.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Merel Hoedt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Margaux Maquet W50 Pazardzhik |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/09 | Barbora Michalkova W50 Pazardzhik |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/09 | Daria Yesypchuk W35 Reus · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Ashley Lahey W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Isabelle Cherny W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/08 | Vivian Wolff W50 Prague |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Anika Jaskova W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Karolina Vlckova W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/08 | Anna Siskova W50 Hamburg |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Anastasia Zolotareva W50 Hamburg |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
Iva Ivanova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Alessandra Mazzola W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 06/07 | Carolina Kuhl W35 Buzau |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Lisa Zaar W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Ines Leon W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Martha Matoula W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Madelief Hageman W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Maria Sara Popa W35 Nice |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Julia Stusek W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/06 | Gabriela Ce W35 Nice |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 26/04 | Elena Milovanovic W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Merel Hoedt vs Iva Ivanova?
Our model gives 62% to Merel Hoedt, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.