Tennis · M25 Zlatibor · 15/09, 14:00
Prediction: Kalin Ivanovski vs Ryo Tabata
Team pages: Kalin Ivanovski · Ryo Tabata
Prediction summary
Winner
Kalin Ivanovski
Ryo Tabata
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kalin Ivanovski
7-3 (W-L)
Ryo Tabata
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kalin Ivanovski 1585 · Ryo Tabata 1536
| Kalin Ivanovski | Ryo Tabata | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kalin Ivanovski (rating 1585 vs 1536).
- Note: Kalin Ivanovski makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Kalin Ivanovski | Ryo Tabata | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 88% (8) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-10.5 | 11-9.9 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 78.1% | 61% |
| Break % | 34.2% | 41.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kalin Ivanovski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Bor Artnak M25 Ollersbach |
0-2 | 4-7 | L |
| 22/07 | Aleksander Chayka M25 Ollersbach |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 05/07 | Vladyslav Orlov M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 04/07 | Yanaki Milev M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 03/07 | Alexander Weis M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Liam Delicata M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/06 | Khumoyun Sultanov M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Bozo Barun M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/06 | Javier Barranco Cosano M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Ryo Tabata
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Egor Pleshivtsev M15 Astana |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 04/08 | Danial Rakhmatullayev M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Amir Omarkhanov M15 Astana |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Adrian Oetzbach M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Lucca C Pignaton M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Marc Majdandzic M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Edward Etty M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Yanki Erel Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 15/06 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kalin Ivanovski vs Ryo Tabata?
Our model gives 68% to Kalin Ivanovski, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.