Tennis · M25 Zlatibor · 15/09, 14:00
Prediction: Dusan Obradovic vs Aleksa Oparnica
Team pages: Dusan Obradovic · Aleksa Oparnica
Prediction summary
Winner
Dusan Obradovic
Aleksa Oparnica
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Dusan Obradovic
6-4 (W-L)
Aleksa Oparnica
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dusan Obradovic 1521 · Aleksa Oparnica 1473
| Dusan Obradovic | Aleksa Oparnica | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dusan Obradovic (rating 1521 vs 1473).
- Note: Aleksa Oparnica makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Dusan Obradovic | Aleksa Oparnica | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 0.8-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-11.2 | 7.7-9.5 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.6% | 62% |
| Break % | 54.3% | 49.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dusan Obradovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/09 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/09 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 31/08 | Gabriele Piraino Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 16/08 | Matyas Cerny Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Sean Cuenin M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Kristijan Juhas M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 12/08 | Vlado Jankanj M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Lorenzo Comino M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/08 | Alexander Zgirovsky M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-4 | W |
Aleksa Oparnica
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Maxim Khorozov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/08 | George Lazarov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Cem Christopher Kucukhuseyin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Mikhail Khodorchenko M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/08 | Egor Khotchenkov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Drazen Petrovic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Tim Vaisman M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Niksa Arsic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Nikola Jovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-3 | W |
| 26/06 | Ander Tarrio Ponte UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dusan Obradovic vs Aleksa Oparnica?
Our model gives 74% to Dusan Obradovic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.