Tennis · W75 Le Neubourg · 16/09, 10:00
Prediction: Manon Leonard vs Laura Hietaranta
Team pages: Manon Leonard · Laura Hietaranta
Prediction summary
Winner
Manon Leonard
Laura Hietaranta
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Manon Leonard
5-5 (W-L)
Laura Hietaranta
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Manon Leonard 1491 · Laura Hietaranta 1520
| Manon Leonard | Laura Hietaranta | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Laura Hietaranta makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Manon Leonard | Laura Hietaranta | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-10.6 | 12.4-11.2 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 3 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 59.6% | 56.1% |
| Break % | 48.4% | 59% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Manon Leonard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Hannah Klugman W50 Nottingham |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Amelie Brooks W50 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Sabine Rutlauka W50 Nottingham |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Veronika Podrez W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Anastasia Kulikova W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Alina Charaeva WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Aliona Falei W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Katherine Sebov W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/06 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 09/06 | Alice Gillan W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Laura Hietaranta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Lucie Nguyen Tan W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 27/08 | Mina Hodzic W75 Bytom |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela W75 Bytom |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 24/08 | Viktoria Veleva W75 Bytom |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/08 | Amelie Justine Hejtmanek W15 Hameenlinna |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 08/08 | Rachel Gailis W15 Hameenlinna |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 07/08 | Klara Veldman W15 Hameenlinna |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/08 | Maileen Nuudi W15 Hameenlinna |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Klara Blazkova W15 Hameenlinna |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 30/07 | Emma Lene W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Manon Leonard vs Laura Hietaranta?
Our model gives 52% to Manon Leonard, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.