Tennis · M15 Tsaghkadzor · 16/09, 10:00
Prediction: Lorenzo Ferri vs Dmitry Bessonov
Team pages: Lorenzo Ferri · Dmitry Bessonov
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Ferri
Dmitry Bessonov
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Ferri
7-3 (W-L)
Dmitry Bessonov
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Ferri 1573 · Dmitry Bessonov 1504
| Lorenzo Ferri | Dmitry Bessonov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lorenzo Ferri (rating 1573 vs 1504).
- Note: Dmitry Bessonov makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Lorenzo Ferri | Dmitry Bessonov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 83% (6) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.6 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-7.8 | 11.3-10.4 |
| Aces | 3 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 60.3% |
| Break % | 54.4% | 47.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Ferri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Ilya Ignatov M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/09 | Oleg Tyagunov M15 Tsaghkadzor Qual · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/09 | Ruslan Tiukaev M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Davit Poghosyan M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 07/09 | Hugo Maurice M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 06/09 | Aleksander Konstantin M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/08 | Peter Fajta M15 Krakow |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Adam Kaczmarek M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Melios Efstathiou M15 Nova Gorica |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Gregor Hausberger M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Dmitry Bessonov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Egor Pleshivtsev M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Bogdan Seleznev M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/08 | Aleksandre Bakshi M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 27/08 | Chirag Duhan M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 26/08 | Aditya Vishal Balsekar M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Ruslan Tiukaev M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Mario Arce Fernandez M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/07 | Sehaj Singh Pawar M15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/05 | Ivan Iutkin M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 15/04 | James Beaven M15 Pretoria · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Ferri vs Dmitry Bessonov?
Our model gives 56% to Lorenzo Ferri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.